The New Capital Journal
Financial news, views, advice, and guidance.
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Can AI and Technology Stocks Keep On Keeping On?
Technology stocks led the market for much of this year, with AI euphoria in full effect. Recent cracks in the momentum have caused some investors to question whether the enthusiasm has been exhausted.
The Rebirth of American Manufacturing: Growth and Innovation
While manufacturing activity in the U.S. has largely been in structural decline since the late 1970’s, the makings of a manufacturing renaissance may be starting to emerge.
529s – An Option for Education AND Retirement
The flexibility of 529 plans is increasing, providing options for both education saving and retirement planning.
Rethinking the Dash to Cash
While higher yields may make cash appealing, higher cash balances may actually reduce your ability to achieve your long-term investment goals.
Spotlight On U.S. Fiscal Challenges
The move by Fitch Ratings to strip the U.S. government of its top-notch AAA credit rating again underscores the long-term challenges we see for the U.S. fiscal outlook.
Chart of the Week: Assets Performance (YTD)
Global stocks and bonds are strongly positive YTD with oil falling substantially.
International Style
Factor investing has seen increased popularity in the US. Investors may also want to consider increasing their opportunity set by considering factors abroad.
Navigating the Current Debt Limit Episode
Debates over federal fiscal policy and rising debt levels, along with continued differences in views of government spending priorities, have led to a series of contentious debt limit episodes in recent years.
Yields Are Back, but Could Rise Further
We foresee potential price downside in domestic fixed income and even higher yields before the skies clear.
Ring In The New Yield
Higher bond yields create opportunities to generate more income with less risk in the new year.
Weekly Market Commentary
U.S. stocks surged and Treasury yields fell sharply after the core October CPI rose a lower-than-expected 0.3%. We think this is finally an encouraging development on inflation but doesn’t yet change the overall picture.
Policy Reality Check: Tighter for Longer
Just like in the early 1980s, central banks are committed to the fight against inflation. However, this time is different. Alternative data reveals insight into the current economic backdrop and what it means for investors.
Could Fall Weakness In Growth Stocks Bring Opportunity?
Although tech and other growth stocks may suffer through more September volatility, the longer-term outlook is more encouraging. The economy is softening, not collapsing, valuations are more interesting and real rates have already adjusted.
Gen Z and the Future of Retirement
Gen Z is coming of age and entering the workforce. New Capital's NextGen program is designed to work with your younger generations. Let us know if we can helpfully engage with your family's Gen Z members.
Weekly Market Commentary
Global growth and inflation concerns are keeping investors up at night.
The Resilience of Markets Through Dark Times
With the conflict in Ukraine, we may still see more volatility and fear impact markets, but in terms of investor portfolios, the message is perhaps bland, but comfortingly so. Stay the course with a diversified portfolio and keep a long-term perspective, however difficult that may be.
Warning: Inflation May Cause Investors To Freeze
In a world of inflation, investors sitting on cash need to step into the ring and fight. And simple math shows why stocks can be a basic fighting tool.
“Build Back Better” Tax Changes Look To Be Muted
The investing world was abuzz with potential changes to taxes laid out in President Biden’s multi-trillion-dollar spending plan. Here’s a quick summary of where the latest proposals stand.
Bigger Gifts to Charities, Bigger Tax Deductions in 2021
Charitable giving feels good. So does reducing your tax bill. The CARES Act provides an opportunity to do more of both in 2021.
Tax-Savvy Choices for Equity Investors
When you’re building portfolios and evaluating performance, it’s easy to think in terms of pre-tax returns. But in reality, it’s the after-tax returns that matter for taxable investors.