The New Capital Journal
Financial news, views, advice, and guidance.
Brought to you by New Capital and our business partners.
How Would Tariffs Impact Mexico and Canada?
Given the deep trade ties between North America’s economies, tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada could significantly reduce GDP and increase inflation in both countries, disrupting supply chains and industries reliant on cross-border commerce.
Can You Predict Post-election Winners?
After an election, many investors try to predict which sectors will thrive under the new administration’s policies. But history suggests that election-driven market bets rarely translate into long-term outperformance.
2024 Q4 & Annual Market Review
Leonard Golub, CFA, reviews performance trends, model portfolio updates and diversification techniques for managing political uncertainties. Guest presenter, Oscar Barbadillo of Henley & Partners introduces their services in residency or citizenship by investment.
DeepSeek or Swim: Has the AI Thesis Fundamentally Changed?
Given AI’s rapid evolution, DeepSeek’s emergence has disrupted markets by developing a high-performing model at a fraction of the cost of major tech firms. While this challenges assumptions about AI development, it doesn’t fundamentally alter the investment case for U.S. leadership. Investors should stay diversified and consider broader AI beneficiaries.
Advance Healthcare Directive vs Living Will: What’s the Difference?
An advance directive is a broad legal document outlining medical preferences if you're incapacitated, while a living will specifically addresses end-of-life care. An advance directive may also include a medical power of attorney, designating someone to make healthcare decisions for you.
Ways to Help: California Fires
Here is a list of charities and organizations you may want to consider supporting through donations or volunteering to assist with wildfire relief, community recovery, and essential human needs such as housing, food, medical aid, and advocacy.
2025 Key Numbers
In any year, planning is necessary to get the most from individual and business income tax laws, and to adapt your financial planning to changes in tax, retirement, investment, education, estate and other thresholds, exemptions, and limitations.
5 Potential Surprises for 2025
Fidelity’s 2025 outlook highlights the possibility of persistent inflation driven by strong labor markets and housing shortages, fiscal policy volatility creating market uncertainty, and lower-than-average asset returns due to high valuations.
2025 Economic and Market Outlook
Vanguard's 2025 outlook predicts global monetary easing, moderate U.S. GDP growth, and a gradual decline in inflation. They foresee improved fixed income opportunities due to higher yields and balanced potential for equity returns over the next decade.
Look Alive, Preretirees: An Additional Savings Option Is Coming in 2025
Starting in 2025, individuals aged 60-63 will gain access to increased retirement plan catch-up contributions, offering new opportunities for savings, with key changes to Roth contribution rules delayed until 2026.
6 Ways the New Trump Administration Could Impact Your Retirement
A new Trump administration could bring changes to Social Security, Medicare, and tax policies, impacting retirement planning, healthcare costs, and financial regulations for retirees.
What is a Charitable Bequest & Why Should You Care?
A charitable bequest allows you to leave a gift to a nonprofit in your will or trust, offering tax benefits and creating a lasting legacy.
2024 Year End Planning
As with each year, we remind you of several year end planning opportunities.
Qualified Charitable Distributions: The Tax-Savvy Way to Give Back
As you plan your year end charitable giving, you might evaluate using a qualified charitable distribution (QCD) in place of your required minimum distribution (RMD) from your IRA.
Warren Buffett's Estate Planning Advice
Warren Buffett's November 25, 2024 special letter concerning his own estate planning has received widespread attention for its recommendation that parents communicate openly with their children regarding their plans.
Inheritance Desires: What Do Americans Really Want?
When a loved one dies, they may pass on either valuable property or sentimental possessions to their heirs. A new survey reveals that different factors may contribute to different inheritance preferences.
Could Higher Tariffs Reverse the Fed's Easing Course?
While it may be premature for the Fed to incorporate tariff implications into monetary policy decisions, current data on resilient growth, healthy labor markets and other factors suggest that the Fed's path may be more gradual and may settle at a higher level than their latest projections indicate.
Will You Owe Taxes When You Sell Your Home?
Regularly documenting home improvements in NCM360 can help boost the cost basis in your home and thereby lower the odds that you will owe taxes should you ever sell.
2024 New Capital 10th Annual Conference
Explore the highlights from New Capital's 2024 Annual Conference, including insights on market trends, estate planning strategies, and the latest innovations in New Capital’s client services and technology.
Vote with Your Ballot, Not Your Life Savings
This presidential election feels uniquely challenging, but I remain confident in the long-term resilience of the stock market.