The New Capital Journal

Financial news, views, advice, and guidance.

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How Would Tariffs Impact Mexico and Canada?

Given the deep trade ties between North America’s economies, tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada could significantly reduce GDP and increase inflation in both countries, disrupting supply chains and industries reliant on cross-border commerce.

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All, Company News New Capital Management All, Company News New Capital Management

2024 Q4 & Annual Market Review

Leonard Golub, CFA, reviews performance trends, model portfolio updates and diversification techniques for managing political uncertainties. Guest presenter, Oscar Barbadillo of Henley & Partners introduces their services in residency or citizenship by investment.

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DeepSeek or Swim: Has the AI Thesis Fundamentally Changed?

Given AI’s rapid evolution, DeepSeek’s emergence has disrupted markets by developing a high-performing model at a fraction of the cost of major tech firms. While this challenges assumptions about AI development, it doesn’t fundamentally alter the investment case for U.S. leadership. Investors should stay diversified and consider broader AI beneficiaries.

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All, Current Events New Capital Management All, Current Events New Capital Management

Ways to Help: California Fires

Here is a list of charities and organizations you may want to consider supporting through donations or volunteering to assist with wildfire relief, community recovery, and essential human needs such as housing, food, medical aid, and advocacy.

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2025 Key Numbers

In any year, planning is necessary to get the most from individual and business income tax laws, and to adapt your financial planning to changes in tax, retirement, investment, education, estate and other thresholds, exemptions, and limitations.

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5 Potential Surprises for 2025

Fidelity’s 2025 outlook highlights the possibility of persistent inflation driven by strong labor markets and housing shortages, fiscal policy volatility creating market uncertainty, and lower-than-average asset returns due to high valuations.

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All, Partners Vanguard All, Partners Vanguard

2025 Economic and Market Outlook

Vanguard's 2025 outlook predicts global monetary easing, moderate U.S. GDP growth, and a gradual decline in inflation. They foresee improved fixed income opportunities due to higher yields and balanced potential for equity returns over the next decade.

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Warren Buffett's Estate Planning Advice

Warren Buffett's November 25, 2024 special letter concerning his own estate planning has received widespread attention for its recommendation that parents communicate openly with their children regarding their plans.

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Could Higher Tariffs Reverse the Fed's Easing Course?

While it may be premature for the Fed to incorporate tariff implications into monetary policy decisions, current data on resilient growth, healthy labor markets and other factors suggest that the Fed's path may be more gradual and may settle at a higher level than their latest projections indicate.

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