The New Capital Journal
Financial news, views, advice, and guidance.
Brought to you by New Capital and our business partners.
Wes Crill on Global Diversification, Market Declines, and Value
The bedrock component of Dimensional’s investment approach is broad diversification, which we think is a great risk control in environments like this.
FAANGs Gone Value
Investors advocating for the superiority of growth firms, such as the FAANGs, are inadvertently making the case for their expected future cash flows to be discounted at a lower level.
Ingenuity and the Investor
Investors are often tempted to focus their attention on firms that appear poised to benefit from innovation. But it’s difficult to predict which ideas will prove successful, and even if we could, it’s unclear which firms will benefit and to what extent.
The Difference Between a Forecast, a Wish, and a Worry
When it comes to investing, it’s crucial to remember the difference between news and opinion, and how they are sometimes used to forecast the future.
Making Cash Flows Count
This article discusses the systematic and important ways in which Dimensional Fund Advisors manages cash flows in and out of mutual funds held by New Capital’s clients.
Quarterly Market Review
The DFA Quarterly Market Review features world capital market performance and a timeline of events for the past quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock and bond asset classes in the US and international markets.
Chasing High-Flying Stocks Risks Meme Reversion
The potentially smoother journey that diversification offers may be less entertaining on the way up, but it generally makes for a better experience than leaving investment goals to chance.
Are We Headed for a Recession?
Just two years removed from the last US recession, negative stock returns and aggressive US Federal Reserve interest rate hikes have many investors concerned we are headed for another big “R”—if we’re not already there.
Light at the End of the Inflation Tunnel?
It seems some investors have resigned themselves to a new normal of high inflation. However, financial market data tells a different story.
History Shows That Stock Gains Can Add Up after Big Declines
A broad market index tracking data since 1926 in the US shows that stocks have tended to deliver positive returns over one-year, three-year, and fve-year periods following steep declines.
Money Mindfulness Meditation Webinar
Please join us for our first Zoom-based session of New Capital’s new client program, Money Mindfulness Meditation (MMM).
Worried About Stocks? Why Long-Term Investing Is Crucial
Against the backdrop of war, humanitarian crisis, and economic hardship, it’s natural to wonder what effect these world events will have on our long-term investment performance. While these challenges certainly warrant our attention and deep concern, they don’t have to be a reason to panic about markets when you’re focused on long-term investing.
Money Mindfulness Meditation Webinar
Please join us for our first Zoom-based session of New Capital’s new client program, Money Mindfulness Meditation (MMM).
Singled Out: Historical Performance of Individual Stocks
Many investors end up holding large concentrated positions in single stocks, whether as the result of employee compensation or a handsomely rewarded stock selection. This can lead to one of the most well-known cautionary tales in finance: tragic declines in wealth from losses in single securities.
Dimensional 2022 Matrix Book
Dimensional’s annual survey of investment performance draws on historical data to look beyond short-term market fluctuations and shed light on the dimensions that explain differences in returns.
Surprisingly Benign: How Stocks Respond to Hikes in Fed Funds Rate
Some investors may worry that rising interest rates will decrease equity valuations and therefore lead to relatively poor equity market performance. However, historically, equity returns in the US have been positive on average following hikes in the fed funds rate.
First Quarter Update & Market Review - Webinar Recording
Watch a recording of our webinar: First Quarter Update & Market Review presented by Leonard Golub, CFA.
Should You Chase Dividend Stocks to Combat Inflation and Rate Hikes?
There’s no strong evidence that dividend stocks have delivered superior inflation-adjusted performance during periods of high inflation or rising interest rates.
Five Things I Know about Investing
French develops a flexible and comprehensive framework for portfolio design using the global average of all investors and the global portfolio of all stocks, bonds, and other financial assets as reference points.
All Eyes on the Fed? A Look at Federal Funds Rate, Bond Return, and Term Premium
Against the backdrop of inflation, the monetary policy response of the US Federal Reserve has become the center of attention for many US and global fixed-income investors.